اللاجئون: نعمة أم نقمة للاقتصاد الألماني؟ (مترجم)
اللاجئون: نعمة أم نقمة للاقتصاد الألماني؟ (مترجم)

أوردت الوكالة الألمانية للإعلام دوتش ويل يوم 15/11/2015 أنه بالرغم من التقديرات الأخيرة بأن تكاليف إيواء اللاجئين على الاقتصاد الألماني يمكن أن تصل إلى مليار يورو

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November 15, 2015

اللاجئون: نعمة أم نقمة للاقتصاد الألماني؟ (مترجم)

الخبر:

أوردت الوكالة الألمانية للإعلام دوتش ويل يوم 15/11/2015 أنه بالرغم من التقديرات الأخيرة بأن تكاليف إيواء اللاجئين على الاقتصاد الألماني يمكن أن تصل إلى مليار يورو، إلا أنه على المدى البعيد ستكون النتيجة مربحة وستمكن ألمانيا من المحافظة على وضعها بصفتها مركز القوة الاقتصادية في أوروبا، كان هذا بحسب أقوال ديفيد فولكرتز لانداو، رئيس مركز أبحاث دوتش بانك ومقره فرانكفورت، وأضاف قائلاً "بدون الهجرة المطلوبة جدًا سيتقلص الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بنصف في المئة سنويًا". وقال أيضًا رئيس المعهد الألماني للأبحاث الاقتصادية مارسيل فراتشر "تشير حساباتنا أن المنافع المالية للاجئين سوف تفوق التكاليف بعد 5-6 سنوات".

من جانب آخر أوردت دوتش ويل تخوف بعض الاقتصاديين من الخطورة المحتملة على الاقتصاد الألماني نتيجة مقدرة اللاجئين على الاندماج بنجاح في سوق العمل.

ولتخطي هذه الخطورة تم اقتراح بعض التغييرات القانونية مثل تخفيض الحد الأدنى للأجور لمساعدة اللاجئين على دخول سوق العمل والتحرر من نظام المساعدة الحكومي. مع هذا وبحسب دوتش ويل، قبل بدء اللاجئين بالمساهمة مباشرة في الناتج المحلي الإجمالي فإن المساعدة المالية الحكومية التي يتلقونها تعود إلى الاقتصاد الألماني من خلال شراء السلع والحاجات الأساسية، الأمر الذي يمكن النظر إليه على أنه "حقنة سيولة" للاقتصاد الألماني بشكل عام.

التعليق:

وصل إلى أوروبا هذا العام لغاية الآن 700.000 لاجئ وقدرت أعداد الذين توفوا نتيجة محاولتهم دخول أوروبا بـ 31.478 لاجئ ما بين شهري كانون الثاني/يناير وشباط/فبراير من هذا العام.

إن الهجرة الجماعية للاجئين، ومعظمهم مسلمون من سوريا وغيرها، الفارين من مآسي الحروب سوف تزداد بشكل أكبر. لقد توقع الاتحاد الأوروبي دخول 3 ملايين لاجئ إلى أوروبا العام القادم، وسوف يستمرون بالوصول في الأعوام المقبلة أيضًا. هذه الأرقام أشعلت الخوف والمخاوف في صفوف السياسيين الأوروبيين، وأظهرت العداء من العديدين الذين يحملون الكراهية للمسلمين الوافدين إلى أوروبا. ومع ذلك، من وجهة نظر اقتصادية، وهي وجهة نظر مهمة للرأسمالية، فإن الجميع قد أجمعوا على شيخوخة شعوب أوروبا المتزايدة وأن اللاجئين يعيدون الحياة لأوروبا وينقذون الاقتصاديات الكبرى من الانكماش الاقتصادي.

إنه لمن المحزن أن نرى بلادنا قد أهلكتها الحروب التي أشعلتها الدول الأوروبية وحلفاؤها بشكل مباشر أو غير مباشر، وزيادة على هذه المآسي والمعاناة التي سببتها الحروب فإننا أيضًا نخسر الملايين من الناس نتيجة للهجرة إلى البلدان الأجنبية حيث سيواجهون الكراهية أولاً ثم يقبلون على أساس أنهم مورد اقتصادي، ثم أخيرًا تنتهي مرحلة مستقبلية ينظر إليهم على أنهم تهديد وجودي "للإرث النصراني لأوروبا" عندما وصل أعداد المسلمين في فرنسا وألمانيا لتكون ذات نسبة كبرى من ناحية انتخابية بالنسبة لعدد السكان. إن أوروبا مقسمةً الآن بين الدعوة إلى توليد الثروة وبين التحذير من توترات عرقية وتفكك أيديولوجي، ولا يجب على أي شخص التقليل من شأن آثارها على العالم.

كتبه لإذاعة المكتب الإعلامي المركزي لحزب التحرير

د.عبد الله روبن

More from News & Commentary

Turkey and Arab Regimes Asked Hamas to Lay Down Their Weapons

Turkey and Arab Regimes Asked Hamas to Lay Down Their Weapons

(Translated)

News:

The high-level United Nations international conference entitled "Finding a Peaceful Solution to the Palestinian Issue and Implementing the Two-State Solution" was held in New York on July 29 and 30, led by France and Saudi Arabia. Following the conference, which aimed to recognize Palestine as a state and end the war in Gaza, a joint declaration was signed. In addition to the European Union and the League of Arab States, Turkey also signed the declaration along with 17 other countries. The declaration, which consisted of 42 articles and an annex, condemned Operation Al-Aqsa Flood carried out by Hamas. The participating countries called on Hamas to lay down its weapons and demanded that it hand over its administration to the Mahmoud Abbas regime. (Agencies, July 31, 2025).

Comment:

Considering the countries running the conference, the presence of America is clearly evident, and despite not having the authority or influence to make decisions, the Saudi regime, its servant, accompanying France is the clearest evidence of this.

In this regard, French President Emmanuel Macron stated on July 24 that France would officially recognize the Palestinian state in September, and would be the first G7 country to do so. Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud and French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barreau held a press conference at the conference, announcing the goals of the New York Declaration. In fact, in the statement issued after the conference, the massacres of the Jewish entity were condemned without taking any punitive decision against it, and Hamas was asked to disarm and hand over the administration of Gaza to Mahmoud Abbas.

In the new Middle East strategy that America seeks to implement based on the Abraham Accords, the Salman regime represents the spearhead. Normalization with the Jewish entity will begin after the war, with Saudi Arabia; then other countries will follow, and this wave will turn into a strategic alliance extending from North Africa to Pakistan. The Jewish entity will also receive a security guarantee as an important part of this alliance; then America will use this alliance as fuel in its conflict against China and Russia, and to include Europe completely under its wings, and of course, against the possibility of establishing the Caliphate.

The obstacle to this plan currently is the war in Gaza and then the anger of the Ummah, which is increasing and is about to explode. Therefore, the United States preferred that the European Union, the Arab regimes, and Turkey take the initiative in the New York Declaration. Thinking that accepting the decisions contained in the declaration would be easier.

As for the Arab regimes and Turkey, their mission is to please the United States, protect the Jewish entity, and in return for this obedience, protect themselves from the anger of their peoples, and live a humiliating life with the crumbs of cheap power until they are thrown away or afflicted with the torment of the afterlife. Turkey's reservation on the declaration, on the condition that the so-called two-state solution plan is implemented, is only an attempt to cover up the real goal of the declaration and mislead Muslims, and it has no real value.

In conclusion, the path to liberating Gaza and all of Palestine is not through a fictitious state in which Jews live. The Islamic solution for Palestine is the rule of Islam in the usurped land, which is to fight the usurper, and to mobilize the armies of Muslims to uproot the Jews from the blessed land. The permanent and radical solution is to establish the Rightly Guided Caliphate and protect the blessed land of Isra and Mi'raj with the shield of the Caliphate. God willing, those days are not far away.

The Messenger of God, may God bless him and grant him peace, said: "The Hour will not come until the Muslims fight the Jews, and the Muslims will kill them, until the Jew hides behind the stone and the tree, and the stone or the tree says: O Muslim, O servant of God, there is a Jew behind me, so come and kill him." (Narrated by Muslim)

Written for the Central Media Office radio of Hizb ut-Tahrir

Muhammad Amin Yildirim

What America Wants is Official Recognition of the Jewish Entity, Even if Weapons Remain

What America Wants is Official Recognition of the Jewish Entity, Even if Weapons Remain

The News:

Most of the political and security news in Lebanon revolves around the issue of weapons targeting the Jewish entity, without any other weapons, and focusing on it by most political analysts and journalists.

Comment:

America is asking for the weapons that fought the Jews to be handed over to the Lebanese army, and it does not care about any weapons that remain in the hands of all the people, which can be used internally when it finds an interest in doing so, or between Muslims in neighboring countries.

America, the greatest enemy of us Muslims, said it frankly, even rudely, when its envoy Barack stated from Lebanon that the weapon that must be handed over to the Lebanese state is the weapon that can be used against the Jewish entity occupying blessed Palestine, and not any other individual or medium weapon because this does not harm the Jewish entity, but rather serves it and serves America and the entire West in inciting it to fight between Muslims under the pretext of takfiris, extremists, reactionaries, or backward people, or other descriptions that they fuel among Muslims under the pretext of sectarianism, nationalism, or ethnicity, or even between Muslims and others who have lived with us for hundreds of years and found nothing from us but the preservation of honor, money, and life, and that we were applying the laws to them as we apply them to ourselves, they have what we have and they are obligated to do what we are obligated to do. For the Sharia ruling is the basis of governance for Muslims, whether among themselves, or between them and other subjects of the state.

As long as our greatest enemy, America, wants to destroy or neutralize the weapon that harms the Jewish entity, then why focus on that among politicians and media professionals?!

Why are the most important topics raised in the media and in the Council of Ministers, at the request of the American enemy, without examining them in depth and clarifying the extent of their danger to the nation, the most dangerous of which is the demarcation of the land borders with the Jewish entity, that is, the official recognition of this occupying entity, in a way that no one after that has the right to carry weapons, any weapons, for the sake of Palestine, which is the property of all Muslims and not only the people of Palestine, as they try to convince us as if it belongs only to the people of Palestine?!

The danger lies in presenting this matter sometimes under the title of peace, sometimes under the title of reconciliation, and at other times under the title of security in the region, or under the title of economic, tourism and political prosperity, and the prosperity that they promise Muslims in the event of recognition of this monstrous entity!

America knows very well that Muslims can never be satisfied with recognizing the Jewish entity, and that is why you see it creeping into them through other things to distract them from the most important fateful matter. Yes, America wants us to focus on the issue of weapons, but it knows that weapons, no matter how powerful, will not work and cannot be used against the Jewish entity if official Lebanon recognizes it by demarcating the borders with it, and thus recognizes it and its right to the land of blessed Palestine, under the pretext of the Muslim rulers and the Palestinian Authority.

This recognition of the Jewish entity is a betrayal of God, His Messenger, and the believers, and of all the blood of the martyrs that has been shed and continues to be shed for the liberation of Palestine, and despite all that, we still hope for good in our nation, some of whom are fighting in Gaza, Hashim, and in Palestine, and they say to us with their blood: We will never recognize the Jewish entity, even if it costs us all this and more... So, do we accept in Lebanon to recognize the Jewish entity, no matter how difficult the circumstances are?! Do we accept to demarcate the borders with it, that is, to recognize it, even if the weapons are left with us?! It is the question that we must answer before it is too late.

Written for the Central Media Office Radio of Hizb ut-Tahrir

Dr. Muhammad Jaber

Head of the Central Communications Committee of Hizb ut-Tahrir in the Wilayah of Lebanon