From Texas's Threat of Secession
To Troubled California and the Omens of Civil War
When major countries age and become senile, diseases appear in them, the first of which is the intellectual decline related to the principle, which in turn leads to a state of turmoil among politicians who do not provide any service to the state, intellectually, and a state of intellectual contradiction, mutual accusations, and attacks and doubts about the principle appear, even deviation, and the inability to solve outstanding issues, so confidence is shaken among those in charge, and the snowball rolls to the public, and this is seen in the reflection and deterioration of services, and slackness in everything, and the reason is that the level of intellectual convictions in the general and structural framework of the state has declined, so that the concepts they have do not form strong convictions to defend them.
According to all of this, stubbornness appears in the nation, so they launch test balloons, in the form of demonstrations, and cases of rebellion and disobedience from time to time, expressing their dissatisfaction with the course of the state, so if the state succeeds and becomes intellectually strong, these symptoms disappear, and it returns as it was, but if the state of intellectual disease resulting from the corruption of the principle from its foundation remains, and it has exhausted all forms of patching that it has lived with for centuries, the state of the state deteriorates, until it reaches the stage of total collapse, as happened to the Soviet Union previously. But if the principle is correct, emanating from an intellectual belief, and addressing the major complex; where did we come from? And where are we going? And why did we come? So that man reaches the necessity of the existence of a creator of this universe, and that God sent messengers, then such a belief becomes a correct principle, capable of addressing human issues, as a human being. Islam is a principle for life in its Caliphate state, which has solved this major complex. If this principle is absent, it is able to return to life again.
Today, America is living the model of the corrupt principle, which has exhausted its patches, which is the capitalist principle, and diseases have begun to appear in it from time to time, announcing the beginning and end of the resounding fall of this principle, and the state of staggering that began some time ago.
Let us examine the magnitude of those great challenges that have emerged in America from intellectual disturbances and disturbances expressing poor care. For example, widespread protests erupted in Los Angeles, California, on Saturday, June 10, 2025, after the Immigration and Customs Enforcement Agency carried out several raids across the city, and the situation escalated rapidly after the Trump administration deployed the National Guard, despite objections from California Governor Newsom and other state officials. Trump said he would send more National Guard troops to California if necessary, stressing that he did not want a civil war, adding, "I felt I had no choice about deploying the National Guard in Los Angeles, and I think I did the right thing."
In a remarkable development, Nova News reported on 2025/6/10 the expansion of protests against Trump's immigration policy, and the arrest of eight demonstrators in Seattle. In Texas, the National Guard was mobilized in several locations in anticipation of new demonstrations. According to Nova News, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told Congress that the order signed by Trump on Saturday set a precedent for similar interventions in other states. He added that the matter concerned prevention. If riots or threats to law enforcement authorities occur elsewhere, we will be able to intervene quickly, criticizing California Governor Gavin Newsom for his alleged reservations, even Attorney General Pam Bondi, and stressed that the administration is not afraid to go further, which means using the Insurrection Act. Al-Arabiya reported on Tuesday, 2025/6/10, on Gavin Newsom, the Governor of California, on Trump's proposal to arrest him, against the background of the protests taking place in the state, and other cities in rejection of the Trump administration's immigration policy, describing the call as an unequivocal step towards authoritarianism. Newsom said in a post on his official account via the X platform, "The President of the United States has just called for the arrest of a governor while in office. This is a day I wish I would never see in America." According to Nova News, other protests erupted in San Francisco, Chicago, Dallas, Philadelphia, Indianapolis, Milwaukee, Boston, Atlanta, and Washington.
Last year, Al-Sharq News reported in January 2024 that the US Supreme Court announced by a majority vote the cutting and removal of barbed wire that the state of Texas had erected along the border with Mexico to prevent immigrants from crossing into its territory. After a 5-4 majority vote in the Supreme Court, calls for the state of Texas to declare independence from the United States increased, as the court's decision angered Texas residents, who support the measures taken by Republican Governor Greer Abbott in May 2021 to order the installation of barbed wire on the state's southern border to combat illegal immigration, which has seen an influx of people crossing the border from Mexico. Al-Sharq News also reported in October 2021 that Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton filed a lawsuit against the Biden administration for the removal of federal agents of barbed wire. Hundreds of posts appeared on the X website, under the hashtag "Texas", which refers to Texas's secession from America. One X user, who calls herself the Ninth Generation of Texas, wrote, "As a Texan, I firmly believe that the only viable option in Texas to move forward is to vote to secede." The Texas Nationalist Movement issued a statement condemning the Supreme Court's ruling, saying it "believes the federal court has let Texas down again." It is noteworthy that the Supreme Court's decision to send elements of the Federal Border Guard to remove the barbed wire erected by the government of the state of Texas has revived concerns about possible chaos and the specter of civil war.
This is the reality that took place last year, and the events of mid-June of this year, and what it carried of great challenges, and manifestations whose chapters will not end, God willing, except with the death of America from within according to its corrupt principle. This is what the Rai Al-Youm electronic newspaper reported on 2025/6/12, where it said, "A researcher who predicted the collapse of America says: Disintegration has just begun," Professor Peter Turchin, a professor at the University of Connecticut, warned that the United States is heading towards a decade characterized by increasing political instability. The American magazine Newsweek conducted an interview with Turchin, the ecologist who turned historian, in the wake of the escalating protests and the deployment of the National Guard in Los Angeles, in Trump's campaign against immigrants, and the magazine stated that Turchin's predictions about what is happening have come true with seemingly strange accuracy. In an analysis published by the journal "Nature" in 2010, Turchin identified several warning signs such as wage stagnation, an increasing wealth gap, a surplus of educated elites without jobs to match their qualifications, and a rapidly accelerating financial deficit, and said that all of these phenomena reached a turning point in the 1970s, and Turchin based his predictions on a framework known as structural demographic theory, which models how historical forces manifested in economic inequality, elite competition, and state power interact to drive cycles of political instability, and in the interview, Turchin, who is currently a professor emeritus at Yukon University, said that each one of those indicators has intensified, referring to the actual stagnation in wages, the effects of artificial intelligence on the professional class, and increasingly uncontrollable public finances. The historian argues that violence in the United States tends to recur approximately every 50 years, noting outbursts of unrest that occurred in the years 1870, 1920, 1970 and 2020. He adds that one of the historical similarities to what is happening now is the 1970s. That decade witnessed the emergence of radical movements from university campuses and middle-class pockets, not only in the United States but throughout the West, and he told Newsweek that he had predicted in 2010 that the United States would witness a period of three-dimensional political instability with the beginning of the twenty-first century, driven by the exacerbation of popular poverty, the overproduction of elites, and the weakness in state capabilities. According to his model, Trump's rise was not the cause of the political crisis in America, but rather a symptom that emerged from an already tense society, due to the widening scope of inequality, and the saturation of the state with numbers of elites, and he said that competition between elites has become even greater, driven now mostly by the shrinking supply of positions for them.
This theory was echoed by Wayne State University sociologist Jukka Savolainen, who argued in a recent op-ed in the Wall Street Journal that the United States risks creating a radical intellectual class made up of highly educated individuals who have been excluded from state institutions. Savolainen warned that Trump-era policies such as dismantling the diversity, equity, and inclusion program, academic research, and downsizing public institutions could accelerate the pace of the unrest that occurred in the 1970s, and pointed out that President Trump's policies could exacerbate this dynamic. In turn, Turchin, the historian, believes that the American system has entered what he calls the "revolutionary" state, which is a historical stage in which it is no longer possible for state institutions, through their mechanisms and systems, to contain the destabilizing conditions. He concluded by saying that all these indicators are unfortunately gaining increasing momentum.
Perhaps the witness to the reality of America, and what appeared in it of cases of internal decline, was followed by a decline in its foreign policy that dropped its values that it has been calling for since its entry into the arena of international conflict, of human rights, democracy, and others, with what it boasts of, and deceived the world with for years that have been prolonged over people, as it is far from any value it calls for, for when it called for human rights, it was the first to kill humans in cold blood, starting with the Red Indians, and digesting the rights of the Negroes, and deporting them in a harsh manner similar to the treatment of animals and not humans. It was the first to use the atomic bomb in Japan, and its effects still remain, and finally, but not least, its crimes against humanity and humanity, and its blatant solidarity and unlimited support for the Jewish entity in its war on the people of Gaza, and Americans, including university students, witnessed the fall of its values when they came out condemning their state's crimes against the people of Gaza, and the destruction of hospitals and shelters and the policy of starvation. So the fall of America and what it calls for of values has fallen for some time, and what remains for it is the last farewell that the whole world is waiting for with what it has inflicted on the world of its crimes and woes, and its dirty style, in colonizing the world in the ugliest images of fabricating wars, starving the world, and making it on the verge of hunger and famine, and its creation of successive crises. What the world needs today is the emergence of a new principle to replace the capitalist principle, with which America runs the world, and it has failed miserably, and the correct principle today is available to Muslims, which is the principle of the Great Islam. It only needs a state to implement it and carry it to the world with preaching and jihad, which is the Second Rightly Guided Caliphate on the method of Prophethood, which will be established soon, God willing.
Written for the Central Media Office of Hizb ut-Tahrir
Sheikh Muhammad Al-Sammani - State of Sudan