From Texas's Threat of Secession to Troubled California and the Omens of Civil War
July 15, 2025

From Texas's Threat of Secession to Troubled California and the Omens of Civil War

From Texas's Threat of Secession

To Troubled California and the Omens of Civil War

When major countries age and become senile, diseases appear in them, the first of which is the intellectual decline related to the principle, which in turn leads to a state of turmoil among politicians who do not provide any service to the state, intellectually, and a state of intellectual contradiction, mutual accusations, and attacks and doubts about the principle appear, even deviation, and the inability to solve outstanding issues, so confidence is shaken among those in charge, and the snowball rolls to the public, and this is seen in the reflection and deterioration of services, and slackness in everything, and the reason is that the level of intellectual convictions in the general and structural framework of the state has declined, so that the concepts they have do not form strong convictions to defend them.

According to all of this, stubbornness appears in the nation, so they launch test balloons, in the form of demonstrations, and cases of rebellion and disobedience from time to time, expressing their dissatisfaction with the course of the state, so if the state succeeds and becomes intellectually strong, these symptoms disappear, and it returns as it was, but if the state of intellectual disease resulting from the corruption of the principle from its foundation remains, and it has exhausted all forms of patching that it has lived with for centuries, the state of the state deteriorates, until it reaches the stage of total collapse, as happened to the Soviet Union previously. But if the principle is correct, emanating from an intellectual belief, and addressing the major complex; where did we come from? And where are we going? And why did we come? So that man reaches the necessity of the existence of a creator of this universe, and that God sent messengers, then such a belief becomes a correct principle, capable of addressing human issues, as a human being. Islam is a principle for life in its Caliphate state, which has solved this major complex. If this principle is absent, it is able to return to life again.

Today, America is living the model of the corrupt principle, which has exhausted its patches, which is the capitalist principle, and diseases have begun to appear in it from time to time, announcing the beginning and end of the resounding fall of this principle, and the state of staggering that began some time ago.

Let us examine the magnitude of those great challenges that have emerged in America from intellectual disturbances and disturbances expressing poor care. For example, widespread protests erupted in Los Angeles, California, on Saturday, June 10, 2025, after the Immigration and Customs Enforcement Agency carried out several raids across the city, and the situation escalated rapidly after the Trump administration deployed the National Guard, despite objections from California Governor Newsom and other state officials. Trump said he would send more National Guard troops to California if necessary, stressing that he did not want a civil war, adding, "I felt I had no choice about deploying the National Guard in Los Angeles, and I think I did the right thing."

In a remarkable development, Nova News reported on 2025/6/10 the expansion of protests against Trump's immigration policy, and the arrest of eight demonstrators in Seattle. In Texas, the National Guard was mobilized in several locations in anticipation of new demonstrations. According to Nova News, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told Congress that the order signed by Trump on Saturday set a precedent for similar interventions in other states. He added that the matter concerned prevention. If riots or threats to law enforcement authorities occur elsewhere, we will be able to intervene quickly, criticizing California Governor Gavin Newsom for his alleged reservations, even Attorney General Pam Bondi, and stressed that the administration is not afraid to go further, which means using the Insurrection Act. Al-Arabiya reported on Tuesday, 2025/6/10, on Gavin Newsom, the Governor of California, on Trump's proposal to arrest him, against the background of the protests taking place in the state, and other cities in rejection of the Trump administration's immigration policy, describing the call as an unequivocal step towards authoritarianism. Newsom said in a post on his official account via the X platform, "The President of the United States has just called for the arrest of a governor while in office. This is a day I wish I would never see in America." According to Nova News, other protests erupted in San Francisco, Chicago, Dallas, Philadelphia, Indianapolis, Milwaukee, Boston, Atlanta, and Washington.

Last year, Al-Sharq News reported in January 2024 that the US Supreme Court announced by a majority vote the cutting and removal of barbed wire that the state of Texas had erected along the border with Mexico to prevent immigrants from crossing into its territory. After a 5-4 majority vote in the Supreme Court, calls for the state of Texas to declare independence from the United States increased, as the court's decision angered Texas residents, who support the measures taken by Republican Governor Greer Abbott in May 2021 to order the installation of barbed wire on the state's southern border to combat illegal immigration, which has seen an influx of people crossing the border from Mexico. Al-Sharq News also reported in October 2021 that Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton filed a lawsuit against the Biden administration for the removal of federal agents of barbed wire. Hundreds of posts appeared on the X website, under the hashtag "Texas", which refers to Texas's secession from America. One X user, who calls herself the Ninth Generation of Texas, wrote, "As a Texan, I firmly believe that the only viable option in Texas to move forward is to vote to secede." The Texas Nationalist Movement issued a statement condemning the Supreme Court's ruling, saying it "believes the federal court has let Texas down again." It is noteworthy that the Supreme Court's decision to send elements of the Federal Border Guard to remove the barbed wire erected by the government of the state of Texas has revived concerns about possible chaos and the specter of civil war.

This is the reality that took place last year, and the events of mid-June of this year, and what it carried of great challenges, and manifestations whose chapters will not end, God willing, except with the death of America from within according to its corrupt principle. This is what the Rai Al-Youm electronic newspaper reported on 2025/6/12, where it said, "A researcher who predicted the collapse of America says: Disintegration has just begun," Professor Peter Turchin, a professor at the University of Connecticut, warned that the United States is heading towards a decade characterized by increasing political instability. The American magazine Newsweek conducted an interview with Turchin, the ecologist who turned historian, in the wake of the escalating protests and the deployment of the National Guard in Los Angeles, in Trump's campaign against immigrants, and the magazine stated that Turchin's predictions about what is happening have come true with seemingly strange accuracy. In an analysis published by the journal "Nature" in 2010, Turchin identified several warning signs such as wage stagnation, an increasing wealth gap, a surplus of educated elites without jobs to match their qualifications, and a rapidly accelerating financial deficit, and said that all of these phenomena reached a turning point in the 1970s, and Turchin based his predictions on a framework known as structural demographic theory, which models how historical forces manifested in economic inequality, elite competition, and state power interact to drive cycles of political instability, and in the interview, Turchin, who is currently a professor emeritus at Yukon University, said that each one of those indicators has intensified, referring to the actual stagnation in wages, the effects of artificial intelligence on the professional class, and increasingly uncontrollable public finances. The historian argues that violence in the United States tends to recur approximately every 50 years, noting outbursts of unrest that occurred in the years 1870, 1920, 1970 and 2020. He adds that one of the historical similarities to what is happening now is the 1970s. That decade witnessed the emergence of radical movements from university campuses and middle-class pockets, not only in the United States but throughout the West, and he told Newsweek that he had predicted in 2010 that the United States would witness a period of three-dimensional political instability with the beginning of the twenty-first century, driven by the exacerbation of popular poverty, the overproduction of elites, and the weakness in state capabilities. According to his model, Trump's rise was not the cause of the political crisis in America, but rather a symptom that emerged from an already tense society, due to the widening scope of inequality, and the saturation of the state with numbers of elites, and he said that competition between elites has become even greater, driven now mostly by the shrinking supply of positions for them.

This theory was echoed by Wayne State University sociologist Jukka Savolainen, who argued in a recent op-ed in the Wall Street Journal that the United States risks creating a radical intellectual class made up of highly educated individuals who have been excluded from state institutions. Savolainen warned that Trump-era policies such as dismantling the diversity, equity, and inclusion program, academic research, and downsizing public institutions could accelerate the pace of the unrest that occurred in the 1970s, and pointed out that President Trump's policies could exacerbate this dynamic. In turn, Turchin, the historian, believes that the American system has entered what he calls the "revolutionary" state, which is a historical stage in which it is no longer possible for state institutions, through their mechanisms and systems, to contain the destabilizing conditions. He concluded by saying that all these indicators are unfortunately gaining increasing momentum.

Perhaps the witness to the reality of America, and what appeared in it of cases of internal decline, was followed by a decline in its foreign policy that dropped its values that it has been calling for since its entry into the arena of international conflict, of human rights, democracy, and others, with what it boasts of, and deceived the world with for years that have been prolonged over people, as it is far from any value it calls for, for when it called for human rights, it was the first to kill humans in cold blood, starting with the Red Indians, and digesting the rights of the Negroes, and deporting them in a harsh manner similar to the treatment of animals and not humans. It was the first to use the atomic bomb in Japan, and its effects still remain, and finally, but not least, its crimes against humanity and humanity, and its blatant solidarity and unlimited support for the Jewish entity in its war on the people of Gaza, and Americans, including university students, witnessed the fall of its values when they came out condemning their state's crimes against the people of Gaza, and the destruction of hospitals and shelters and the policy of starvation. So the fall of America and what it calls for of values has fallen for some time, and what remains for it is the last farewell that the whole world is waiting for with what it has inflicted on the world of its crimes and woes, and its dirty style, in colonizing the world in the ugliest images of fabricating wars, starving the world, and making it on the verge of hunger and famine, and its creation of successive crises. What the world needs today is the emergence of a new principle to replace the capitalist principle, with which America runs the world, and it has failed miserably, and the correct principle today is available to Muslims, which is the principle of the Great Islam. It only needs a state to implement it and carry it to the world with preaching and jihad, which is the Second Rightly Guided Caliphate on the method of Prophethood, which will be established soon, God willing.

Written for the Central Media Office of Hizb ut-Tahrir

Sheikh Muhammad Al-Sammani - State of Sudan

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Do not be deceived by names, for the essence lies in actions, not lineage

Do not be deceived by names, for the essence lies in actions, not lineage

Every time we are presented with a "new symbol" with Muslim roots or Eastern features, many Muslims cheer, and hopes are built on an illusion called "political representation" in an infidel system that does not recognize Islam as a ruling system, a creed, or a law.

We all remember the overwhelming joy that swept through the feelings of many when Obama won in 2008. He is the son of Kenya, and he has a Muslim father! Here, some imagined that Islam and Muslims had become close to American influence, but Obama was one of the most harmful presidents to Muslims. He destroyed Libya, contributed to the tragedy of Syria, and ignited Afghanistan and Iraq with his planes and soldiers. Rather, he was the blood shedder in Yemen through his tools, and his era was a continuation of a systematic hostility against the nation.

Today, the scene is repeated, but with new names. Zohran Mamdani is celebrated because he is a Muslim, an immigrant, and a young man, as if he is the savior! But only a few look at his political and intellectual positions. This man is a strong supporter of homosexuals, participates in their activities, and considers their deviation a human right!

What a shame that people pin their hopes on this?! Wasn't it a repetition of the same political and intellectual disappointment that the nation has fallen into time and time again?! Yes, because it is captivated by appearance, not essence! Deceived by smiles, and deals with emotion, not creed, with names, not concepts, and with symbols, not principles!

This fascination with appearances and names is the result of the absence of legitimate political awareness, because Islam is not measured by origin, name, or race, but by commitment to the principle of Islam in its entirety; as a system, creed, and law. A Muslim who does not rule by Islam or support it has no value, but rather submits to the infidel capitalist system and justifies infidelity and deviations in the name of "freedom".

Let all Muslims who rejoiced in his victory and thought that he was a seed of good or the beginning of revival know that revival does not come from within systems of disbelief, nor with their tools, nor through their ballot boxes, nor under the ceiling of their constitutions.

Whoever presents himself through the democratic system, swears to respect its laws, then defends and celebrates homosexuality, and calls for what angers God, is not a supporter of Islam or a hope for the nation, but rather a tool for polishing and diluting, and a false representation that does not advance or delay anything.

The so-called political successes in the West for some personalities with Islamic names are nothing but crumbs presented as painkillers to the nation, to be told: Look, change is possible through our systems.

 So what is the reality of this "representation"?

The West does not open the doors of rule to Islam, but only opens them to those who identify with its values and ideas. Anyone who enters their system must accept their constitution and their man-made laws, and renounce the rule of Islam. If he agrees to that, he becomes an acceptable model, but the true Muslim is rejected by them from his roots.

So who is Zohran Mamdani? And why is this illusion being created?

He is a person who carries a Muslim name but adopts a deviant agenda that is completely contrary to the nature of Islam, from supporting homosexuals and promoting what is called their "rights". He is a living example of how the West makes its models: Muslim in name, secular in reality, a servant of the Western liberal agenda, nothing more. Rather, to distract the nation from its true path. Instead of demanding the state of Islam and the Caliphate, it is preoccupied with parliamentary seats and positions in systems of disbelief! Instead of heading to liberate Palestine, it waits for someone to "defend Gaza" from inside the American Congress or the European Parliament!

The truth of the matter is that this is a distortion of the true path of change, which is the establishment of the Rightly Guided Caliphate on the Prophetic method, which raises the banner of Islam, establishes the law of God, and unites the nation behind one Caliph who is fought from behind and feared.

So do not be deceived by names, and do not rejoice in those who belong to you in form and disagree with you in content, for not everyone who bears the name Saeed, Ali, or Zohran is on the path of our Prophet Muhammad ﷺ.

Know that change does not come from within the parliaments of disbelief, but from the armies of the nation that have come to move, and from its conscious youth who work day and night to turn the tables on the West and its aides and its treacherous followers in the lands of Islam and the Muslims.

Muslims will not rise through democratic elections or through Western ballot boxes, but through a real renaissance based on the Islamic creed, by establishing the Rightly Guided Caliphate that restores Islam's status, Muslims' dignity, and shatters the illusions of democracy.

Do not be deceived by names, and do not pin your hopes on individuals in systems of disbelief, but return to your great project: the resumption of Islamic life, for this alone is the path to glory, victory, and empowerment.

The scene is a humiliating repetition of old tragedies: false symbols, loyalty to Western regimes, and deviation from the path of Islam. Everyone who applauds this path is misleading the nation. Return to the Caliphate project, and do not let the enemies of Islam make your leaders and representatives for you. Glory is not in the seats of democracy, but in the saddle of the Caliphate, for which Hizb ut-Tahrir works and warns the nation against this intellectual and political decline. There is no salvation for us except with the state of the Caliphate, which does not allow Muslims to be ruled by those who profess a religion other than Islam, nor by those who justify deviance and perversion, nor by those who legislate for people other than what God has revealed.

Written for the Central Media Office of Hizb ut-Tahrir

Abdul Mahmoud Al-Ameri - Yemen Province

Egypt Between Government Slogans and Bitter Reality: The Full Truth About Poverty and Capitalist Policies

Egypt Between Government Slogans and Bitter Reality

The Full Truth About Poverty and Capitalist Policies

Al-Ahram Gate reported on Tuesday, November 4, 2025, that the Egyptian Prime Minister, in a speech delivered on behalf of the President at the Second World Summit for Social Development in Doha, Qatar, said that Egypt is implementing a comprehensive approach to eliminate poverty in all its forms and dimensions, including "multidimensional poverty."

For years, official speeches in Egypt have rarely been devoid of phrases such as "a comprehensive approach to eliminating poverty" and "the real launch of the Egyptian economy." Officials repeat these slogans at conferences and events, accompanied by glossy images of investment projects, hotels, and resorts. But the reality, as evidenced by international reports, is quite different. Poverty in Egypt remains a deeply rooted, and even worsening, phenomenon, despite repeated government promises of improvement and renaissance.

According to reports by UNICEF, ESCWA, and the World Food Programme for 2024 and 2025, about one in five Egyptians lives in multidimensional poverty, meaning they are deprived of more than one aspect of basic life, such as education, health, housing, work, and services. The data also confirms that more than 49% of families suffer from difficulties in obtaining sufficient food, a shocking figure that reflects the depth of the living crisis.

As for financial poverty, i.e., low income compared to the costs of living, it has risen sharply as a result of successive waves of inflation that have eroded people's wages, efforts, and savings, until a large percentage of Egyptians are below the financial poverty line despite their constant work.

While the government talks about initiatives such as "Takaful and Karama" and "Decent Life," international figures reveal that these programs have not radically changed the structure of poverty, but have been limited to temporary palliatives similar to a drop poured into the desert. The Egyptian countryside, where more than half of the population lives, still suffers from poor services, a lack of decent job opportunities, and dilapidated infrastructure. The ESCWA report confirms that deprivation in the countryside is several times greater than in the cities, which indicates poor distribution of wealth and chronic neglect of the peripheries.

When the Prime Minister thanks the citizen "who has endured with the government the measures of economic reform," he is in fact acknowledging the existence of real suffering resulting from these policies. However, this acknowledgment is not followed by a change in approach, but rather a continuation on the same capitalist path that caused the crisis.

The alleged reform that began in 2016 with the "floatation" program, raising subsidies, and increasing taxes, was not a reform but rather a burdening of the poor with the cost of debts and deficits. At a time when officials are talking about "the launch," huge investments are going to luxury real estate and tourism projects that serve the owners of capital, while millions of young people find no opportunities for work or housing. Indeed, many of these projects, such as the Alam El Roum area in Matrouh, whose investments are estimated at $29 billion, are foreign capitalist partnerships that acquire land and wealth and turn them into a source of profit for investors, not a source of livelihood for the people.

The regime fails not only because it is corrupt, but because it follows a false intellectual basis, which is the capitalist system, which makes money the focus of all state policies. Capitalism is based on absolute freedom of ownership, and allows the accumulation of wealth in the hands of the few who own the means of production, while the many bear the burden of taxes, prices, and public debt.

Therefore, all so-called "social protection programs" are merely an attempt to beautify the brutal face of capitalism, and to prolong the life of an unjust system that takes into account the rich and collects from the poor. Instead of addressing the root of the disease; i.e., the monopoly of wealth and the dependence of the economy on international institutions, it is sufficient to distribute crumbs of cash aid, which do not alleviate poverty or preserve dignity.

Care is not a favor from the ruler to the ruled, but a legitimate duty, and a responsibility for which God will hold him accountable in this world and the hereafter. What is happening today is a deliberate neglect of people's affairs, and an abandonment of the duty of care in favor of conditional loans from the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

The state has become an intermediary between the poor and the foreign creditor, imposing taxes, reducing subsidies, and selling public property to cover a swollen deficit created by the capitalist system itself. In all of this, the legitimate concepts that regulate the economy are absent, such as the prohibition of usury, the prevention of the ownership of public wealth by individuals, and the obligation to spend on the people from the treasury of the Muslims.

Islam has presented an integrated economic system that addresses poverty at its roots, not just with cash support or cosmetic projects. This system is based on fixed legitimate foundations, the most prominent of which are:

1- Prohibiting usury and usurious debts that shackle the state and drain its resources. By eliminating usury, the dependence of the economy on international institutions will disappear, and the financial sovereignty of the nation will be restored.

2- Making ownership three types:

Individual ownership: such as houses, shops, and private farms...

Public ownership: includes major wealth such as oil, gas, minerals, and water...

State ownership: such as fay' lands, rikaz, and kharaj...

With this distribution, justice is achieved, as a small group is prevented from monopolizing the nation's resources.

3- Guaranteeing sufficiency for every individual of the people: The state guarantees for every person in its care their basic needs of food, clothing, and housing. If they are unable to work, the treasury must spend on them.

4- Zakat and mandatory spending: Zakat is not a charity, but an obligation, collected by the state and spent in its legitimate channels for the poor, the needy, and the debtors. It is an effective distribution tool that returns money to the cycle of life in society.

Along with stimulating productive work and preventing exploitation, and urging investment of resources in real beneficial projects such as heavy and military industries, not in speculation, luxury real estate and fictitious projects. In addition to adjusting prices with real supply and demand, not with monopoly or floatation.

The Khilafah state on the method of Prophethood is the only one capable of applying these provisions practically, because it is built on the basis of Islamic creed, and its goal is to care for people's affairs, not to collect their money. Under the Khilafah, there is no usury or conditional loans, and no sale of public wealth to foreigners, but resources are managed in a way that achieves the interest of the nation, and the treasury finances health care, education, and public facilities from state resources, kharaj, anfal, and public property.

As for the poor, their basic needs are guaranteed individually, not through temporary charity but as a guaranteed legitimate right. Therefore, fighting poverty in Islam is not a political slogan, but an integrated system of life that establishes justice, prevents injustice, and returns wealth to its people.

Between the official discourse and the lived reality is a huge distance that is not hidden from anyone. While the government boasts of its "giant" projects and the "real launch," millions of Egyptians live below the poverty line, suffering from high prices, unemployment, and a lack of hope. The truth is that this suffering will not disappear as long as Egypt continues on the path of capitalism, surrendering its economy to usurers and submitting to the policies of international institutions.

The crises and problems of Egypt are human problems and not material ones, and they relate to legitimate rulings that show how to deal with them and treat them on the basis of Islam, and the solutions are easier than turning a blind eye, but they need a sincere administration that has a free will that wants to walk in the right path and truly wants good for Egypt and its people, and then this administration must review all the contracts that were previously concluded and that are concluded with all the companies that monopolize the assets of the country and what is of its public ownership, and at the forefront are companies exploring for gas, oil, gold and the rest of the minerals and wealth, and expel all those companies because they are originally colonial companies plundering the wealth of the country, then formulate a new covenant based on enabling people to access the country's wealth and establishing or leasing companies that are based on producing wealth from the sources of oil, gas, gold and other minerals and redistribute these wealth to the people again, then people will be able to cultivate the dead land that the state will enable them to exploit with their right in it, and they will also be able to manufacture what must be manufactured to raise the economy of Egypt and suffice its people, and the state will support them in this way, and all this is not a figment of the imagination or impossible to happen or a project that we present for experimentation that may succeed or fail, but it is legitimate rulings that are necessary and binding on the state and the people, so the state may not give up the wealth of the country that is owned by the people under the pretext of contracts approved and supported by unjust international laws, and it may not prevent people from it, but it must cut off every hand that extends plundering to the wealth of the people, this is what Islam offers and must be implemented, but it is not applied in isolation from the rest of the systems of Islam, but it is only applied through the Rashidun Khilafah state on the method of Prophethood, this state whose concern and call for is carried by Hizb ut-Tahrir and calls on Egypt and its people, people and army, to work with it for its sake, may God write the conquest from Him, so we see it a reality that honors Islam and its people, O God, sooner rather than later.

﴿If the people of the towns had but believed and been righteous, We would have opened for them blessings from heaven and earth.﴾

Written for the Central Media Office of Hizb ut-Tahrir

Saeed Fadl

Member of the Media Office of Hizb ut-Tahrir in the Wilayah of Egypt